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The nature of questions arising in court that can be addressed via probability and statistical methods


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30th August 2016 to 2nd September 2016
Leila Schneps
Norman Fenton
Richard Gill
David Lagnado

Organisers: Norman Fenton (Queen Mary, University of London), David Lagnado (University College London), Richard Gill (Universiteit Leiden), Leila Schneps (Institut de Mathématiques de Jussieu)

Workshop Theme

Proper use of statistics and probabilistic reasoning has the potential to improve dramatically the efficiency, transparency and fairness of the criminal justice system and the accuracy of its verdicts, by enabling the relevance of evidence – especially forensic evidence - to be meaningfully evaluated and communicated. However, its actual use in practice is minimal, and indeed the most natural way to handle probabilistic evidence (Bayes) has generally been shunned. This workshop seeks to understand the scope, limitations, and barriers of using statistics and probability in court.

Deadline for applications: 29 July 2016

Apply now

Please note members of Cambridge University are welcome to turn up and sign in as a non-registered attendee on the day(s) during the workshop and attend the lecture(s). Please note that we cannot provide you with any support including name badge, meals or accommodation.

In addition to visiting the INI, there are multiple ways in which you can participate remotely.


  • Prof Colin Aitken   
  • Frans Alkemade          
  • David Bentley
  • Prof Alex Biedermann        
  • Sheila Bird      
  • Prof Alicia Carriquiry         
  • David Caruso  
  • Dr Tim Clayton    
  • Prof Simon De Smet           
  • Marieke Dubelaar       
  • Prof Michael Finkelstein     
  • Dr Angela Gallop
  • Prof Joseph Gastwirth        
  • Prof Jane Hutton    
  • Allan Jamieson           
  • Karen Kafadar            
  • Prof Richard Lempert         
  • David Lucy     
  • Anne Ruth Mackor     
  • Dr Kristy Martire
  • Prof Ronald Meester           
  • Dr Ruth Morgan   
  • Prof Paul Roberts   
  • Dr Bernard Robertson      
  • Prof David Spiegelhalter     
  • Lonneke Stevens        
  • Prof Cheryl Thomas           
  • Prof William Thompson     
  • Prof Bruce Weir     
  • Prof Patricia Wiltshire


Registration Only
  • Registration Package: £202
  • Student Registration Package: £162

The Registration Package includes admission to all seminars, lunches and refreshments on the days that lectures take place (Monday - Friday), wine reception and formal dinner, but does not include other meals or accommodation.

Registration and Accommodation
  • Accommodation Package: £537

The Accommodation Package includes a registration fee, bed and breakfast accommodation at Robinson College from the evening of Monday 29th August 2016 to breakfast on Saturday 3rd September 2016, together with lunches and refreshments during the days that lectures take place (Monday - Friday). The formal dinner is also included, but no other evening meals.

Formal Dinner Only
  • Formal Dinner: £50

Participants on the Accommodation Package or Registration Package, including organisers and speakers, are automatically included in this event. For all remaining participants who would like to attend, such as programme participants, the above charge will apply.


Accommodation in single study bedrooms with shared facilities and breakfast are provided at Robinson College.



Lunch will be served at Wolfson Court in the Cafeteria from 12:30 to 13:30 on days that lectures take place.

  • Accommodation Package and Registration Package participants should present their badge as payment for their meal
  • Those issued with a blue Institute door entrance card can add money onto the card via the Porters' Lodge at Wolfson Court
  • Other participants must purchase their meal using their dining card via the Porters' Lodge (forms can be found on the registration desk or at the Porters' Lodge)

Evening Meal

Participants are free to make their own arrangements for dinner.

Formal Dinner

The Formal Dinner will take place on Thursday 1st September at Trinity College, Old Kitchen . Participants on the Accommodation Package or Registration Package, including organisers and speakers, are automatically included in this event.

University of Cambridge Research Councils UK
    Clay Mathematics Institute London Mathematical Society NM Rothschild and Sons