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Workshop Programme

for period 23-27 August

Stochastic Methods in Climate Modelling

23-27 August

Timetable

Monday 23 August
09:00-09:50 Registration CLP
09:50-10:00 Welcome by Dr Ben Mestel (INI Deputy Director) CLP
Session: Grand challenges and introduction to the week
10:00-11:00 Palmer, T (ECMWF) CLP
  A very grand challenge for the science of climate prediction Sem 1
11:00-11:30 Morning Coffee CLP
11:30-12:30 Jones, C (University of Warwick) CLP
  Is data assimilation relevant to climate research? Sem 1
12:30-13:30 Lunch at Wolfson Court CLP
14:00-15:00 Lenton, T (University of East Anglia) CLP
  Indentification and early warning of climate tipping points Sem 1
15:00-15:30 Afternoon Tea CLP
15:30-16:30 Dewar, R (The Australian National University) CLP
  Maximum entropy production and climate modelling: an overview of theory and applications Sem 1
16:45-17:45 Shutts, G (Met Office) CLP
  Current use of stochastic methods in operational NWP/climate forecasting: are they physically justifiable Sem 1
17:45-18:15 Welcome Wine Reception CLP
18:15-19:00 Dinner at Churchill College CLP
Tuesday 24 August
Session: Earth's climate as a dynamical system
10:00-11:00 Crucifix, M (Université Catholique de Louvain) CLP
  Stochastic methods for understanding palaeoclimates Sem 1
11:00-11:30 Morning Coffee CLP
11:30-12:30 Franzke, C (University of Cambridge) CLP
  Systematic Strategies for Stochastic Climate Modeling Sem 1
12:30-13:30 Lunch at Wolfson Court CLP
14:00-15:00 Branstator, G (National Center for Atmospheric Research) CLP
  Properties of the atmospheric response to tropical heating estimated from the fluctuation dissipation theorem Sem 1
15:00-15:30 Afternoon Tea CLP
15:30-16:30 Kleeman, R (Courant Institute) CLP
  The spectra of a general class of stochastic climate models Sem 1
16:45-17:45 Discussion session - What are the key dynamical systems questions to address in the programme CLP
18:15-19:00 Dinner at Churchill College CLP
Wednesday 25 August
Session: Tipping points
10:00-11:00 Thompson, M; Sieber, J (Cambridge and Portsmouth Universities) CLP
  Climate tipping as a noisy bifurcation: a predictive technique Sem 1
11:00-11:30 Morning Coffee CLP
11:30-12:30 Wieczorek, S (University of Exeter) CLP
  Rate-dependent tipping points: the example of the compost-bomb instability Sem 1
12:30-13:30 Lunch at Wolfson Court CLP
Session: Use of ensembles
14:00-15:00 Semenov, M (Rothamsted Research) CLP
  Delivering local-scale climate scenarios for impact assessments Sem 1
15:00-15:30 Afternoon Tea CLP
15:30-16:30 Kunsch, H (ETH Zürich) CLP
  Biases and uncertainty in multi-model climate projections Sem 1
16:45-17:45 Cox, P (University of Exeter) CLP
  Model resolution versus ensemble size: optimizing the trade-off for finite computing resources Sem 1
19:30-22:00 Conference Dinner at Jesus College CLP
Thursday 26 August
Session: Maximum Entropy Production (MEP)
10:00-11:00 Kleidon, A (Max-Planck-Institut) CLP
  Life, hierarchy, and the thermodynamic machinery of planet Earth Sem 1
11:00-11:30 Morning Coffee CLP
11:30-12:30 Jupp, T (University of Exeter) CLP
  MEP and planetary climates: insights from a two-box climate model containing atmospheric dynamics Sem 1
12:30-13:30 Lunch at Wolfson Court CLP
14:00-15:00 Gregory, J (University of Reading) CLP
  Climate entropy production based on AOGCM diagnostics Sem 1
15:00-15:30 Afternoon Tea CLP
15:30-17:00 Discussion session - What are the key MEP questions to address in this programme CLP
17:00-18:00 Poster Session CLP
18:15-19:00 Dinner at Churchill College CLP
Friday 27 August
Session: Stochastic climate models
10:00-11:00 Kwasniok, F (Univeristy of Exeter) CLP
  Empirical stochastic modelling in weather and climate science: applications from subgrid-scale parametrisation to analysis & modelling of palaeoclimatic records Sem 1
11:00-11:30 Morning Coffee CLP
11:30-12:30 Steinheimer, M (ECMWF) CLP
  Stochstic representation of model uncertainties in ECMWF's forecasting system Sem 1
12:30-13:30 Lunch at Wolfson Court CLP
14:00-15:00 Berner, J (National Center for Atmospheric Research) CLP
  Model uncertainty in weather and climate models: Stochastic and multi-physics representations Sem 1
15:00-15:30 Afternoon Tea CLP
15:30-16:30 Williams, P (University of Reading) CLP
  The impacts of stochastic noise on climate models Sem 1
16:45-17:45 Plant, R (Univeristy of Reading) CLP
  Issues with convection. What is a useful framework beyond bulk models of large N, non-interacting, scale-separated, equilibrium systems Sem 1
18:15-19:00 Dinner at Churchill College CLP
Other Seminars
Seminars in the University
National and International Scientific Research Meetings

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