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Enhancing Stochastic Kriging Metamodels with Stochastic Gradient Estimators

Date: 
Wednesday 7th September 2011 - 11:30 to 12:00
Venue: 
INI Seminar Room 1
Session Title: 
Metamodeling and stochastic simulation I
Session Chair: 
S. Sanchez
Abstract: 
Stochastic kriging is the natural extension of kriging metamodels for the design and analysis of computer experiments to the design and analysis of stochastic simulation experiments where response variance may differ substantially across the design space. In addition to estimating the mean response, it is sometimes possible to obtain an unbiased or consistent estimator of the response-surface gradient from the same simulation runs. However, like the response itself, the gradient estimator is noisy. In this talk we present methodology for incorporating gradient estimators into response surface prediction via stochastic kriging, evaluate its effectiveness in improving prediction, and specifically consider two gradient estimators: the score function/likelihood ratio method and infinitesimal perturbation analysis.
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Presentation Material: 
University of Cambridge Research Councils UK
    Clay Mathematics Institute London Mathematical Society NM Rothschild and Sons