skip to content

Direct Statistical Simulation of a Two-Layer Primitive Equation Model

Presented by: 
B Marston Brown University
Wednesday 4th December 2013 - 11:30 to 12:15
INI Seminar Room 1
Co-authors: Wanming Qi (Brown University), Steve Tobias (University of Leeds)

Low-order statistics of the large-scale circulation of planetary atmospheres may be directly accessed by solving the equations of motion for the equal-time statistics. We implement such Direct Statistical Simulation of a two-layer primitive equation model by systematic expansion in the cumulants. The first cumulant is the zonally averaged vorticity, divergence, and temperature as a function of latitude and level, and the second cumulant contains information about nonlocal teleconnections. At second order (CE2) the expansion retains the eddy – mean-flow interaction but neglects eddy-eddy interactions and is realizable. Eddy-eddy interactions appear at third (CE3) order, but care must be taken to maintain realizability with a non-negative probability distribution function. The cumulant expansion is conservative, order-by order, in the total angular momentum, total energy, and mean-squared potential temperature. An intermediate approximation, CE2.5, is related to the Edd y-Damped Quasi-Normal Markovian (EDQNM) approximation and maintains realizability at the expense of the introduction of a phenomenological timescale for eddy damping. First and second cumulants accumulated by time-integration of the two-layer primitive equations are compared with those obtained at the fixed points found at CE2, CE2.5, and CE3 levels of approximation, and against statistics obtained from reanalysis of the mid-level atmosphere of the Earth. CE2 reproduces qualitative features of the zonal mean general circulation such as the mid-latitude jets. CE2.5 and CE3 improve quantitative agreement in both the zonal means, and in the teleconnections.

The video for this talk should appear here if JavaScript is enabled.
If it doesn't, something may have gone wrong with our embedded player.
We'll get it fixed as soon as possible.
Presentation Material: 
University of Cambridge Research Councils UK
    Clay Mathematics Institute London Mathematical Society NM Rothschild and Sons