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Struggling judges: do they need a probability help desk? A daily legal practice point of view

Presented by: 
Lonneke Stevens Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Date: 
Wednesday 31st August 2016 - 14:30 to 15:00
Venue: 
INI Seminar Room 1
Abstract: 
Would all judicial decisions benefit from using probability and statistics? Judges do not seem to think so. In daily practice most cases are just not very complex. However, case-law demonstrates that judges recurrently struggle with questions and concepts of fact-finding even in the not too complex cases. What are these questions, which mistakes are made and how could reasoning with probabilities help?      
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University of Cambridge Research Councils UK
    Clay Mathematics Institute London Mathematical Society NM Rothschild and Sons