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Communicating likelihood ratios

Presented by: 
David Spiegelhalter University of Cambridge
Date: 
Friday 2nd September 2016 - 15:30 to 16:30
Venue: 
INI Seminar Room 1
Abstract: 
One method for communicating likelihood ratios is to use words to express ranges of values. I shall look at the development of these recommendations, and make comparisons with other areas in which similar proposals have been made for communicating probabilities or risks using words, such as climate change and drug safety, and how these have been interpreted by audiences.
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Presentation Material: 
University of Cambridge Research Councils UK
    Clay Mathematics Institute London Mathematical Society NM Rothschild and Sons