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Accelerated Free-Form Model Discovery of Interpretable Models using Small Data

Presented by: 
Lior Horesh IBM Research
Tuesday 31st October 2017 - 11:10 to 12:00
INI Seminar Room 1
The ability to abstract the behavior of a system or a phenomenon and distill it into a consistent mathematical model is instrumental for a broad range of applications. Historically, models were manually derived in a first principles fashion. The first principles approach often offers the derivation of interpretable models of remarkable levels of universality using little data. Nevertheless, their derivation is time consuming and relies heavily upon domain expertise. Conversely, with the rising pervasiveness of data-driven approaches, the rapid derivation and deployment of models has become a reality. Scalability is gained through dependence upon exploitable structure (functional form). Such structures, in turn, yield non-interpretable models, require Big Data for training, and provide limited predictive power outside the training set span. In this talk, we will introduce an accelerated model discovery approach that attempts to bridge between the two conducts, to enable the discovery of universal, interpretable models, using Small Data. To accomplish that, the proposed algorithm searches for free-form symbolic models, where neither the structure nor the set of operator primitives are predetermined. The discovered models are provably globally optimal, promoting superior predictive power for unseen input. Demonstration of the algorithm in re-discovery of some fundamental laws of science will be provided, and references to on-going work in the discovery of new models for, hitherto, unexplainable phenomena.
University of Cambridge Research Councils UK
    Clay Mathematics Institute London Mathematical Society NM Rothschild and Sons