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Inexact computer model calibration: Concerns, controversy, credibility, and confidence

Presented by: 
Matthew Plumlee Northwestern University
Wednesday 2nd May 2018 - 11:00 to 13:00
INI Seminar Room 2
There has been a recent surge in statistical methods for calibration of inexact models in the most basic of settings.  Alongside these developments, a controversy has emerged about the goals of calibration of inexact models.  This talk will trace a swath of research stemming from about twenty years ago and potential concerns are marked along the way.  The talk will also present some new ideas in this setting that might help close some of these philosophical and practical issues.

University of Cambridge Research Councils UK
    Clay Mathematics Institute London Mathematical Society NM Rothschild and Sons