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Microsimulation, Nik Lomax, Karyn Morrissey and Jamil Nur

Friday 10th July 2020 - 09:50 to 10:10
INI Seminar Room 2
In order to estimate the patterns of movement, interaction with public spaces and potential risk of exposure to COVID-19, we need a detailed dataset containing individuals, their characteristics and there geographical location. These individuals are used in other models within the DECOVID ecosystem. We use spatial microsimulation techniques to generate the baseline population of individuals and an algorithm for assigning individuals to household to provide estimates at Middle Super Output area level. Further attributes are added to this population, derived from survey data using propensity score matching. We assess the spatial distribution of these populations and the daily activity spaces they inhabit.

University of Cambridge Research Councils UK
    Clay Mathematics Institute London Mathematical Society NM Rothschild and Sons