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Spotting the next pandemic: prospecting or preparedness?

Presented by: 
Eddie Holmes University of Sydney
Thursday 10th September 2020 - 09:30 to 10:15
INI Seminar Room 1
Zoonotic diseases have long been a major burden on human societies and are expected to increase in frequency and impact as we interact more with the animal world and as the global population increases in both size and productivity. Fortunately, new genomic tools, particularly metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS), provide a uniquely powerful means to rapidly reveal the microbial composition of any sample without bias, provide key information on the diversity, structure and evolution of the virosphere, help determine how microbes move across the human-animal interface and the drivers of disease emergence, and reveal the origins of specific epidemics. Herein, I demonstrate the utility of mNGS for pathogen discovery and understanding disease emergence on clinically actionable time-scales. In doing so, I will demonstrate how these genomic tools can form a key component to new approaches to pandemic preparedness. As a case study will focus on the initial emergence of COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) at the end of 2019. I will discuss the most likely theories for its origin and emergence, and consider why coronaviruses seem particularly able to jump species boundaries and emerge in new hosts. I will conclude by outlining the ways in which we can potentially prevent pandemics like that of COVID-19 ever happening again.

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University of Cambridge Research Councils UK
    Clay Mathematics Institute London Mathematical Society NM Rothschild and Sons