Progress on novel mathematics and statistics for Landscape Decisions, including priorities for further research
EBDW02
31 July 2019 to 2 August 2019
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Workshop theme
Land is a key limiting resource in many regions of the world, including the UK. Society depends on land resources for many purposes, including urban settlement, employment and transportation, as well as a host of benefits we get from nature (ecosystem services) - food, timber, energy, recreation, and aesthetic benefits. We require these land resources to be resilient to environmental change, and to meet increasing demands for not only housing, but also renewable energy, recreation and climate change mitigation. Land-use therefore connects many of the UN Sustainable Development Goals. In the UK, EU exit will require the introduction of many new policies connected to land-use (e.g. replacing the Common Agricultural Policy, the EU Biodiversity Strategy, etc) – implying an urgent need to develop better landscape decision tools. The one-month INI programme explores the mathematical and statistical challenges associated with making use of the latest observations to understand and project land-use changes. Questions to be addressed will include: what is the minimal useful representation of the landscape system? How do we robustly model the coupled human-environment system without assuming that people act as perfectly rational economic agents? Where are the non-linearities and sensitivities of the system, and how could these be used to produce transformative changes in land-use? How do we reconcile scale disconnects between different elements of human-environment systems?
This three-day workshop will close the INI research programme, via a series of research roadmaps that synthesize new research frontiers and synergies identified during the INI programme. The last day of the workshop will be specifically stakeholder-focused to discuss the relevance of the new insights and research roadmaps to particular policy-relevant areas of research in this field.
Participants in the workshop will include a highly interdisciplinary mix of both academic and non-academic researchers and policy makers working on land related research and policy questions. These will include (but not be limited to) participants interested in agriculture, forestry, water resources and biodiversity, as well as mathematicians, statisticians and computer scientists expert in system modelling, uncertainty quantification and decision making who are also interested in these wide ranging applied questions.
Timetable
| Wednesday 31st July 2019 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 to 09:20 | No Room Required | ||
| 09:20 to 09:30 | Room 1 | ||
| 09:30 to 10:00 |
Paula Harrison Centre for Ecology & Hydrology |
Room 1 | 
|
| 11:30 to 12:00 |
Panel discussion on “Decision-making in the face of uncertainty” |
Room 1 | |
| 13:00 to 14:30 | No Room Required | ||
| 14:30 to 15:00 | Room 1 | ||
| 16:00 to 16:30 | No Room Required | ||
| 16:30 to 17:00 | Room 1 | ||
| Thursday 1st August 2019 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 to 11:00 | Room 1 |
|
|
| 12:30 to 13:00 |
Panel discussion on “Benchmarking, calibration and uncertainty (including model emulation)” |
Room 1 |
|
| 13:00 to 14:30 | No Room Required | ||
| 14:30 to 15:30 |
Breakout groups around research innovation and need clusters identified during panel discussions |
Room 1 | |
| 15:30 to 16:00 | No Room Required | ||
| 16:00 to 18:00 |
Reporting back from breakout groups and synthesis of innovations and needs |
Room 1 |
|
| 19:30 to 22:00 | No Room Required | ||
| Friday 2nd August 2019 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 09:30 to 16:10 |
Next Generation Research and Modelling for Landscape Decisions (Open for Business) |
No Room Required | |
Organisers
- Peter Cox University of Exeter
- Felix Eigenbrod University of Southampton
Speakers
- Paula Harrison Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Participants
- David Abrahams Isaac Newton Institute
- Martine Barons University of Warwick
- Onno Bokhove University of Leeds
- Maribel Borrajo Garcia Lancaster University - Mathematics and Statistic Dept.
- Mark Brewer Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland (BioSS)
- John Bruun University of Exeter
- James Bullock Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
- Alex Bush Lancaster University
- Eduard Campillo-Funollet University of Sussex
- Peter Challenor University of Exeter
- Alexis Comber University of Leeds
- Stephen Cornell University of Liverpool
- Peter Cox University of Exeter
- Chris Dent University of Edinburgh; The Alan Turing Institute
- Roderick Dewar Australian National University
- Felix Eigenbrod University of Southampton
- Emma Gardner University of Reading
- Laura Graham University of Southampton
- Miao Guo Imperial College London
- Anna Harper University of Exeter
- Claire Harris University of Glasgow
- Paula Harrison Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
- Laura Hattam Bath Institute for Mathematical Innovation
- Jenny Hodgson University of Liverpool
- Robert Holland University of Southampton
- Chris Huntingford Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
- Vincent Keenan University of Strathclyde
- Simon Kerley Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
- Bill Kunin University of Leeds
- Jane Leeks Newton Gateway to Mathematics
- Valerie Livina National Physical Laboratory
- Andrew Lovett University of East Anglia
- Ben Marchant British Geological Survey
- Andrew Mead Rothamsted Research
- Alice Milne Rothamsted Research
- Richard Reeve University of Glasgow
- Victoria Robinson Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs
- Nick Schurch Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland (BioSS)
- Marian Scott University of Glasgow
- Qingying Shu Lancaster University
- Richard Sibly University of Reading
- Marcel Van Oijen Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
- Daniel Williamson University of Exeter
- Emma Wright Joint Nature Conservation Committee
- Jianguo (Jingle) Wu Arizona State University
- Henry Wynn London School of Economics
- Keming Yu Brunel University
- Stan Zachary Heriot-Watt University; University of Edinburgh
- Ce Zhang Lancaster University; Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
- Guy Ziv University of Leeds
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