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JUNIPER research meeting


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23rd February 2021
Ciara Dangerfield Isaac Newton Institute

JUNIPER Research Meeting

JUNIPER (Joint UNIversities Pandemic and Epidemiological Research) is a UKRI funded consortium of epidemiology modelling groups from seven universities:Bristol, Cambridge, Exeter, Lancaster, Manchester, Oxford and Warwick. The teams of epidemiological modellers and statisticians in the JUNIPER consortium represent a core of committed and experienced research groups that have been generating predictions, forecasts and insights feeding into the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M) and the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE), both of whom advise the UK government on scientific matters relating to the UK’s response to the pandemic.

This meeting will provide an introduction to who JUNIPER are, the key goals of the consortium and the current COVID-19 related research activities being undertaken by consortium members. The lead academics from each university will also identify research areas of immediate priority to support the scientific advice on the UK government's pandemic response. Topics covered include vaccination and transmission within structured environments.

This meeting is the first in a series of JUNIPER research meetings over the coming 18 months. A key goal of the consortium is to be outward-facing and inclusive. These research meetings are a major part of the consortium's engagement with the wider epidemiological and mathematical research communities. There will therefore be time for discussion within this half-day meeting and it is hoped that the talks will spark lively discussions and potentially future collaborations. 

Find out more about JUNIPER consortium including the current membership here.

This event will be held virtually at 09:00-12:50 (GMT). Please note that while this event is free to attend, registration has now closed but you can watch the meeting online here.






Chair: Ciara Dangerfield (JUNIPER consortium Scientific Programme Manager)




INI Director/Deputy Director


Introduction to JUNIPER consortium

Matt Keeling (University of Warwick) &

Julia Gog (University of Cambridge)


Transmission in care homes

Ian Hall (University of Manchester)


Assessing the impact of reopening strategies on

within-school transmission

Louise Dyson (University of Warwick)


Bayesian data augmentations methods for stochastic

spatial epidemic models

Chris Jewell (University of Lancaster)


Vaccine Escape: Exploring the simplest model

Julia Gog (University of Cambridge)





Household bubbles and COVID-19 transmission:

insights from percolation theory

Leon Danon (University of Bristol)


Calibrating complex COVID models to partial data

using Gaussian processes

TJ McKinley (University of Exeter)


Evaluating the effectiveness of non-randomised intervention: locally supported contact tracing

in the NHS test\&trace

Daniela DeAngelis University of Cambridge)



Contact tracing and trade-offs

Deirdre Hollingsworth (Big Data Institute,

University of Oxford)


Panel Discussion



University of Cambridge Research Councils UK
    Clay Mathematics Institute London Mathematical Society NM Rothschild and Sons