Non-equilibrium etatistical mechanics and the theory of extreme events in earth science

Workshop theme

Contributions to the workshop are encouraged in relevant areas and e.g. in the following topics: large deviation theory, extreme value theory, dynamical systems, bifurcations, chaos, predictability, Lyapunov exponents and vectors, data assimilation, multifractal properties of fluid flows, long-term memory, turbulence, stochastic processes, response theory for non-equilibrium systems.

This event will hopefully give impetus for extending the collaboration between meteorologists, climate scientists, physicists, and mathematicians.

Applications for this workshop are now closed

The Institute kindly requests that any papers published as a result of this programme’s activities are credited as such. Please acknowledge the support of the Institute in your paper using the following text:

The author(s) would like to thank the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Cambridge, for support and hospitality during the programme Non-equilibrium etatistical mechanics and the theory of extreme events in earth science, where work on this paper was undertaken. This work was supported by EPSRC grant EP/F005431/1 and EP/I016392/1.

The Organisers would like to thank the following sponsors for their generous support of the event:

Timetable

Tuesday 29th October 2013
08:30 to 08:50	Registration	No Room Required
08:50 to 09:00	Welcome by John Toland, Director of the Institute	No Room Required
09:00 to 09:35	Mark Pollicott University of Warwick Geodesic flows: Mixing, zeta functions and resonances	Room 1
09:35 to 10:10	Stefano Galatolo Università di Pisa Rigorous computation of invariant measures and Lyapunov exponents	Room 1
10:10 to 10:45	Peter Imkeller Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin Paleo-climatic time series: statistics and dynamics	Room 1
10:45 to 11:10	Morning Coffee	No Room Required
11:10 to 11:45	Tobias Kuna University of Reading Typical behaviour of extremes of chaotic dynamical systems for general observables	Room 1
11:45 to 12:20	Shouhong Wang Indiana University Interplay between Mathematics and Physics	Room 1
12:30 to 13:30	Lunch at Wolfson Court	No Room Required
13:40 to 14:15	Michal Branicki New York University Quantifying uncertainty and improving reduced-order predictions of partially observed turbulent dynamical systems	Room 1
14:15 to 14:50	Sandro Vaienti Centre de Physique Théorique, Marseille Extreme value theory for randomly perturbed systems: getting the local dimensions	Room 1
14:50 to 15:25	Davide Faranda CEA/Saclay A new recurrences based technique for detecting robust extrema in long temperature records	Room 1
15:25 to 15:50	Afternoon Tea	No Room Required
15:50 to 16:25	Ira Didenkulova Tallinn Technical University Extreme sea waves in the coastal zone	Room 1
16:25 to 17:00	Jürgen Vollmer Max-Planck-Institut für Dynamics and Self-Organisation Dew droplets and cloud droplets: droplet growth, size distributions, and corrections to scaling	Room 1
17:00 to 18:00	Welcome Wine Reception	No Room Required

Wednesday 30th October 2013
09:00 to 09:35	Gianni Jona-Lasinio Università degli Studi di Roma La Sapienza On thermodynamics of stationary states of diffusive systems Coauthors L. Bertini, A. De Sole, D. Gabrielli, C. Landim	Room 1
09:35 to 10:10	Christian Beck Queen Mary University of London Environmental superstatistics	Room 1
10:10 to 10:45	Dmitri Kondrashov University of California, Los Angeles Data-driven model reduction and climate prediction: nonlinear stochastic, energy-conserving models with memory effects	Room 1
10:45 to 11:10	Morning Coffee	No Room Required
11:10 to 11:45	Daan Crommelin Centrum voor Wiskunde en Informatica (CWI) Efficient sampling of rare events by splitting	Room 1
11:45 to 12:20	Frank Kwasniok University of Exeter Regime-dependent modelling of extremes in the extra-tropical atmospheric circulation	Room 1
12:30 to 13:30	Lunch at Wolfson Court	No Room Required
13:40 to 14:15	Christian Maes KU Leuven The modified second fluctuation-dissipation theorem	Room 1
14:15 to 14:50	Matteo Colangeli Politecnico di Torino On the use of Ruelle's formalism in response theory	Room 1
14:50 to 15:25	Rainer Klages Queen Mary University of London Anomalous fluctuation relations	Room 1
15:25 to 15:55	Afternoon Tea	No Room Required
15:55 to 16:30	Jacques Vanneste University of Edinburgh A large-deviation approach to passive scalar advection, diffusion and reaction	Room 1
19:30 to 22:00	Conference Dinner at Emmanuel College	No Room Required

Thursday 31st October 2013
09:00 to 09:35	Michael Ghil University of California, Los Angeles Extreme Events and Coupled Climate-Economics Modeling	Room 1
09:35 to 10:10	Roddy Dewar Australian National University Kinetic energy dissipation and the stability of stationary turbulent flows	Room 1
10:10 to 10:45	Nathan Glatt-Holtz Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Inviscid Limits for the Stochastic Navier Stokes Equations and Related Systems	Room 1
10:45 to 11:10	Morning Coffee	Room 1
11:10 to 11:45	Jeroen Wouters Technische Universität Hamburg-Harburg A statistical mechanics approach to stochastic parametrizations	Room 1
11:45 to 12:20	Peter Cox University of Exeter Emergent Constraints on Earth System Sensitivities	Room 1
12:30 to 13:30	Lunch at Wolfson Court	No Room Required
13:40 to 14:15	The modeling of rare events: from methodology to practice and back	Room 1
14:15 to 14:50	Petra Friederichs Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn Bayesian approaches for wind gust and quantitative precipitation forecasting	Room 1
14:50 to 15:25	Valérie Chavez-Demoulin ETH Zürich Generalized additive modelling of hydrological sample extremes	Room 1
15:25 to 15:50	Afternoon Tea	No Room Required
15:50 to 16:25	Shaun Lovejoy McGill University Extreme events and the multifractal butterfly effect	Room 1
16:25 to 17:00	Jürgen Kurths Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) Complex networks identify spatial patterns of extreme rainfall events of the Indian and the South American monsoon system	Room 1
17:00 to 17:35	Jason Bertram Australian National University Statistical stability arguments for maximum kinetic energy dissipation	Room 1
17:35 to 18:10	Madalina Vlad National Institute for Laser, Plasma & Radiation Physics Statistics of eddy transport	Room 1

Friday 1st November 2013
09:00 to 09:35	David Ruelle IHES Hydrodynamic turbulence as a problem in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics	Room 1
09:35 to 10:10	Giuseppe Buttazzo Università di Pisa Optimal location problems with routing cost	Room 1
10:10 to 10:45	Freddy Bouchet ENS - Lyon Phase transitions and large deviations in geophysical fluid dynamics	Room 1
10:45 to 11:10	Morning Coffee	No Room Required
11:10 to 11:45	Bruno Eckhardt Philipps-Universität Marburg Turbulence transition in shear flows: coherent structures, edge states and all that	Room 1
11:45 to 12:20	Valerio Lucarini Technische Universität Hamburg-Harburg Noise, Fluctuation, and Response in Geophysical Fluid Dynamics	Room 1
12:20 to 12:55	Eric Vanden-Eijnden Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences Nonequilibrium statistical mechanics of climate variability: modelling issues and applications to data assimilation techniques	Room 1
12:55 to 13:30	Lunch at Wolfson Court	No Room Required

Speakers

Christian Beck Queen Mary University of London
Jason Bertram Australian National University
Freddy Bouchet ENS - Lyon
Michal Branicki New York University
Giuseppe Buttazzo Università di Pisa
Valérie Chavez-Demoulin ETH Zürich
Matteo Colangeli Politecnico di Torino
Peter Cox University of Exeter
Daan Crommelin Centrum voor Wiskunde en Informatica (CWI)
Roddy Dewar Australian National University
Ira Didenkulova Tallinn Technical University
Bruno Eckhardt Philipps-Universität Marburg
Davide Faranda CEA/Saclay
Petra Friederichs Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn
Stefano Galatolo Università di Pisa
Michael Ghil University of California, Los Angeles
Nathan Glatt-Holtz Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Peter Imkeller Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Gianni Jona-Lasinio Università degli Studi di Roma La Sapienza
Rainer Klages Queen Mary University of London
Dmitri Kondrashov University of California, Los Angeles
Tobias Kuna University of Reading
Jürgen Kurths Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
Frank Kwasniok University of Exeter
Shaun Lovejoy McGill University
Valerio Lucarini Technische Universität Hamburg-Harburg
Christian Maes KU Leuven
Mark Pollicott University of Warwick
David Ruelle IHES
Sandro Vaienti Centre de Physique Théorique, Marseille
Eric Vanden-Eijnden Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
Jacques Vanneste University of Edinburgh
Madalina Vlad National Institute for Laser, Plasma & Radiation Physics
Jürgen Vollmer Max-Planck-Institut für Dynamics and Self-Organisation
Shouhong Wang Indiana University
Jeroen Wouters Technische Universität Hamburg-Harburg

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Non-equilibrium etatistical mechanics and the theory of extreme events in earth science

Workshop theme

Applications for this workshop are now closed

Timetable

Speakers

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