Episode published: 03/08/20
In episode #22 Ciara Dangerfield is joined by Dr Kit Yates to discuss the maths behind the models of COVID-19 that are being used to guide policy of the control of the pandemic. Kit is a senior lecturer at the University of Bath and author of The Mathematics of Life and Death. In particular if you are interested in our discussions check out Chapter 7 (‘Susceptible, Infective, Removed’) of his book. You can find out more about Kit’s work at his website kityates.com or follow him on twitter @Kit_Yates_Maths.
00:00 – Episode description
01:40 – Introductions
02:35 – The maths behind the COVID-19 pandemic, the SEIR model
09:40 – How to model the transmission process
17:40 – Capturing uncertainty within the models
22:40 – Reducing the reproduction number: responses and policies suggested by the models
25:40 – What is herd immunity?
30:10 – The key challenges facing modellers in this situation
35:40 – Contact details and wrap-up recommendations
38:10 – What can mathematicians do to help?
Dr Kit Yates discusses the maths behind the models of COVID-19 that are being used to guide policy and help control the pandemic
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